Why is LGB Forge Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -195.49% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
- Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.07 times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 3.14% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
Stock is technically in a Bearish range
- The technical trend has deteriorated from Mildly Bearish on 26-Mar-25 and has generated 1.81% returns since then
- Multiple factors for the stock are Bearish like MACD, Bollinger Band and KST
3
Risky - Negative EBITDA
- The stock is trading risky as compared to its average historical valuations
- Over the past year, while the stock has generated a return of -5.90%, its profits have risen by 34.5%
4
Consistent Underperformance against the benchmark over the last 3 years
- Along with generating -5.90% returns in the last 1 year, the stock has also underperformed BSE 500 in each of the last 3 annual periods
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Castings/Forgings)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is LGB Forge for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
LGB Forge
-5.9%
-0.10
60.98%
SENSEX
0.45%
0.03
14.48%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
-4.72%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-195.49%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
-0.70
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
Negative Net Debt
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
2.16
Tax Ratio
0
Dividend Payout Ratio
0
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
0.01%
ROCE (avg)
-2.20%
ROE (avg)
3.14%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
NA (Loss Making)
Industry P/E
28
Price to Book Value
11.31
EV to EBIT
-71.13
EV to EBITDA
-243.99
EV to Capital Employed
6.08
EV to Sales
2.71
PEG Ratio
NA
Dividend Yield
NA
ROCE (Latest)
-11.99%
ROE (Latest)
-27.50%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Dow Theory
No Trend
Mildly Bearish
OBV
No Trend
No Trend
Technical Movement
6What is working for the Company
PAT(Q)
Highest at Rs -0.43 cr.
DEBTORS TURNOVER RATIO(HY)
Highest at 4.02 times
PBDIT(Q)
Highest at Rs 0.56 cr.
OPERATING PROFIT TO NET SALES(Q)
Highest at 2.31%
PBT LESS OI(Q)
Highest at Rs -0.73 cr.
0What is not working for the Company
NO KEY NEGATIVE TRIGGERS
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is working for LGB Forge
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs -0.43 cr. and Grown
each quarter in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very positive
PAT (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit (PBDIT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 0.56 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term Operating Profit trend is positive
Operating Profit (Rs Cr)
Operating Profit Margin - Quarterly
Highest at 2.31%
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Company's efficiency has improved
Operating Profit to Sales
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
Highest at Rs -0.73 cr.
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is positive
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Debtors Turnover Ratio- Half Yearly
Highest at 4.02 times
in the last five half yearly periodsMOJO Watch
Company has been able to settle its Debtors faster
Debtors Turnover Ratio