Why is National Fertilizer Ltd ?
1
Weak Long Term Fundamental Strength with a -6.17% CAGR growth in Operating Profits over the last 5 years
- Low ability to service debt as the company has a high Debt to EBITDA ratio of 3.08 times
- The company has been able to generate a Return on Equity (avg) of 9.24% signifying low profitability per unit of shareholders funds
2
The company has declared negative results in Dec'2024 after 1 consecutive positive quarters
- PBT LESS OI(Q) At Rs 28.75 cr has Fallen at -84.63 %
- PAT(Q) At Rs 45.81 cr has Fallen at -69.6 %
- NET SALES(HY) At Rs 10,246.21 cr has Grown at -22.63 %
3
Stock is technically in a Bearish range
- The technical trend has deteriorated from Mildly Bearish on 07-Feb-25 and has generated -22.26% returns since then
- Multiple factors for the stock are Bearish like MACD, Bollinger Band and KST
How much should you sell?
- All quantity irrespective of whether you are making profits or losses
(If sector exposure > 30%, please use optimiser tool to see which are the best stocks to hold in Fertilizers)
When to re-enter? - We will constantly monitor the company and review our call based on new data
Is Natl.Fertilizer for you?
High Risk, Low Return
Absolute
Risk Adjusted
Volatility
Natl.Fertilizer
-23.15%
-0.45
51.98%
SENSEX
0.45%
0.03
14.48%
Quality key factors
Factor
Value
Sales Growth (5y)
9.40%
EBIT Growth (5y)
-6.17%
EBIT to Interest (avg)
1.61
Debt to EBITDA (avg)
5.03
Net Debt to Equity (avg)
0
Sales to Capital Employed (avg)
3.46
Tax Ratio
17.90%
Dividend Payout Ratio
8.83%
Pledged Shares
0
Institutional Holding
7.70%
ROCE (avg)
8.55%
ROE (avg)
9.24%
Valuation Key Factors 
Factor
Value
P/E Ratio
15
Industry P/E
20
Price to Book Value
1.46
EV to EBIT
12.84
EV to EBITDA
6.63
EV to Capital Employed
1.30
EV to Sales
0.25
PEG Ratio
0.08
Dividend Yield
0.26%
ROCE (Latest)
14.55%
ROE (Latest)
14.22%
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Technical key factors
Indicator
Weekly
Monthly
MACD
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
RSI
No Signal
No Signal
Bollinger Bands
Bearish
Bearish
Moving Averages
Bearish (Daily)
KST
Bearish
Mildly Bearish
Dow Theory
Mildly Bearish
Mildly Bearish
OBV
Mildly Bullish
Mildly Bearish
Technical Movement
4What is working for the Company
PAT(9M)
At Rs 49.19 cr has Grown at 185.35 %
-13What is not working for the Company
PBT LESS OI(Q)
At Rs 28.75 cr has Fallen at -84.63 %
PAT(Q)
At Rs 45.81 cr has Fallen at -69.6 %
NET SALES(HY)
At Rs 10,246.21 cr has Grown at -22.63 %
NON-OPERATING INCOME(Q)
is 49.41 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT
Loading Valuation Snapshot...
Here's what is not working for Natl.Fertilizer
Net Sales - Quarterly
At Rs 5,855.85 cr has Fallen at -22.79 %
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term sales trend is very negative
Net Sales (Rs Cr)
Profit Before Tax less Other Income (PBT) - Quarterly
At Rs 28.75 cr has Fallen at -84.63 %
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PBT trend is very negative
PBT less Other Income (Rs Cr)
Profit After Tax (PAT) - Quarterly
At Rs 45.81 cr has Fallen at -69.6 %
Year on Year (YoY)MOJO Watch
Near term PAT trend is very negative
PAT (Rs Cr)
Non Operating Income - Quarterly
is 49.41 % of Profit Before Tax (PBT)
MOJO Watch
The company's income from non business activities is high; which is not a sustainable business model
Non Operating Income to PBT
Non Operating Income - Quarterly
Highest at Rs 28.08 cr
in the last five quartersMOJO Watch
Increased income from non business activities may not be sustainable
Non Operating Income